Tuesday, March 20, 2007

TE Rankings

The no comments version is here.

1. A. Gates (no surprise here, 3 straight years as the #1 fantasy TE, despite what Colston owners in Yahoo leagues might tell you.)
2. T. Gonzalez (seems like 2005 and his #7 overall finish there was a bit of a hiccup. Back to the #2 TE last year, and with no WRs of note on the roster and an inexperienced QB at the helm, look for Gonzalez to retain his spot as the 2nd best former basketball player turned TE in the AFC West)
3. T. Heap (Top 5 TE the last 2 years, Heap is boringly consistent (and that's a good thing). McNair knows how to find a TE, and should continue to do so next year.)
4. J. Shockey (If it weren't for his injury concerns I would rank him ahead of Heap. However, it seems like he is underperforming a bit each year because of injuries, even if he rarely misses a game because of them.)
5. C. Cooley (This guy may have been overlooked last year. He had a slow start with Brunell at the helm, but when Campbell took over the starting job he looked to Cooley often, and his catches, yards and TDs all bumped up a bit. Cooley should be a steal later in the draft, as he still is not as widely known as some of the other TEs).
6. A. Crumpler (Do not rely on Crumpler as you would in the past. There is talk of Petrino installing a 4 WR offense in Atlanta. With 4 WR, 5 OL, a QB and a RB there is no room for a TE even on the field in these formations. If Petrino does install the 4 WR offense, be very wary of Crumpler on draft day.)
7. B. Watson (His numbers should finally be starter worthy this year. D. Graham is finally out of the picture, and I don't think D. Thomas is ready to step into that role. K. Brady who the Patriots signed this offseason is purely a blocking TE, so if T. Brady is looking for a TE next year it will probably be Watson.)
8. J. Witten (Last year his yardage numbers were okay, however, Witten lost a lot of his value when Owens came on board. Witten only had 1 TD catch all of last year, and that is because in an effort to keep Owens happy, all red zone balls were thrown his way. Look for that trend to continue with a new coach in town. The last thing a new coach would want is for Owens to become the headache that he will eventually become anyway.)
9. D. Clark (The third receiving option for P. Manning, now that Stokley is out of town. His numbers should rebound from last year if he can stay healthy for 16 games.)
10. V. Davis (His athleticism is amazing, and if it weren't for his injuries he probably would have been a top 10 TE last year. With A. Bryant off the team, this team doesn't even have a mediocre WR on the team anymore, so A. Smith won't have a choice but to look for V. Davis every time he drops back to pass. I could very easily see Davis finishing in the top 5 next year.)

Notables missing:
K. Winslow (There is a lot of talk that he may miss the entire 2007 season. Even if he doesn't miss the entire season, if he's not around for at least half of it, he won't be much help to anyone's fantasy teams. If the rumors of him missing a lot of time turn out to be exaggerated, then Winslow will definitely find a place in my top 10 by the end of the offseason)

1 comment:

Hanson said...

Great rankings, commish. I have similar concerns about Crumpler and think the #6 ranking is fair. I'm not a huge Cooley fan but you can't argue with how he finished last season. Watson should be the #1 TE option in New England, but with added WR options make me think the Pats might rely less on the TE next year. Witten seemed to play better with Romo in the lineup, so his stats might rebound a bit, although as you have pointed out TDs might be hard to come by.
And Vernon Davis has huge upside in San Fran. If you can't get a top 4 guy, it might be a good idea to take a chance on him in the hopes that he breaks out.